Using Markov Analysis to Study the Impact of Temperature in Bangladesh

  • Janardan Mahanta University of Chittagong
  • Soumen Kishor Nath University of Chittagong
  • Md. Haronur Rashid University of Chittagong
Keywords: Temperature, Markov Chain, Bangladesh


In this paper has been studied the temperature trend in Bangladesh. Long-term changes of surface air temperature over Bangladesh have been studied using the available historical data collected by the Bangladesh meteorological Department (BMD). Daily temperature data is collected from BMD in Dhaka and Chittagong. Then month have been divided according to season and their descriptive statistics are computed. Maximum average temperature in pre-monsoon season and minimum average temperature in winter season have been shown in the paper. This study also reveals that temperature has increased over the time. Markov chain analysis has been applied for these data so as to find the stationary probability. After 26 and 13 days stationary probabilities in Dhaka and Chittagong stations respectively have observed.


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Author Biographies

Janardan Mahanta, University of Chittagong

Assistant Professor, Department of Statistics, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, BANGLADESH

Soumen Kishor Nath, University of Chittagong

Assistant Professor, Institute of Education and Research, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, BANGLADESH

Md. Haronur Rashid, University of Chittagong

Research Student, Department of Statistics, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, BANGLADESH


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